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Deep water the answer ?

Russia has some of the largest energy reserves in the world, but it keeps searching for new sources - even if it means going underwater. Two Russian deep-water submersibles have once again taken a dive in Lake Baikal, to study recently found fields of gas hydrates, a possible fuel of the future.Baikal is like a laboratory to verify scientific hypotheses and to study the behaviour of gas hydrates in the World Ocean”Baikal is the world's deepest, oldest freshwater basin and one of the most biologically diverse.

Located in East Siberia close to the Mongolian border, the lake holds one-fifth of our planet's surface fresh water.The vessels dubbed Mir - which is Russian for "world" - belong to Russia's Shirshov Institute of Oceanology of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS).In 1996,

Unesco awarded Baikal World Heritage Site status and placed its fragile environment under international protection.On past voyages, the Mir discovered new organisms endemic to Baikal, as well as important deposits of gas hydrates and sites with oil formation.

From July until September 2010, the tiny, 20 tonne oval-shaped subs and their three-member crews plan to perform about 60 submersions that will last several hours each. They navigate through the lake's deep blue more than 1.5km underwater, but are able to go down to 6,000m. Only two other submersibles can go to such depths - French Nautile and Japanese Shinkhai.

The expedition brings together Russia's most renowned oceanographers, biologists, geologists and other scientific minds - and possibly the Canadian film-maker James Cameron.He used the Mir subs to film his epic Titanic in 1997, submerging some 3,800m to the wreckage of the sunken ship, lying on the bottom of the Atlantic Ocean.

Last year, the Russian premier Vladimir Putin went on a four-hour dive in Baikal with the scientists, and next summer, the subs' crews plan to bring the vessels to Europe, to explore Lake Geneva, Switzerland.

During this summer's venture, researchers hope to further analyse recently discovered sites of sub-bed gas hydrates.These crystalline water-based solids look like ice and inside them are huge amounts of gases - biochemical methane and traces of nitrogen, carbon dioxide and ethane.

Lake Baikal holds one fifth of the world's surface fresh water The gases are trapped in "cages" of hydrogen-bonded water molecules.Usually gas hydrates form in permafrost or in deep oceans. Scientists believe they exist in Baikal due to the lake's huge depths and the low temperatures of the sub-bottom water.

There is thought to be much more gas in these unconventional energy deposits than in all known natural gas reserves. But researchers say a lot more research is needed for them to be able to extract gas from unstable hydrate accumulations. The specific density of gas hydrates is lower than that of water, and when released, they float to the surface and disintegrate into water and gas as the pressure falls.

  • The lake holds 20% of our planet's surface fresh water
  • It is 25m years old - the world's oldest lake
  • It is also the world's deepest lake - maximum depth is around 1,640m
  • It is the Earth's largest freshwater lake by volume
  • It is also very clear - in some places, one can see down about 40m
  • Is home to one of the world's few freshwater seal species - a nerpa
  • Over 1,000 plants and animals are found nowhere else

Looking at the lake's blue waters, sparkling in the evening sun, Alexander Yegorov of the Oceanology institute said that studying gas hydrates in Baikal gives researchers a unique opportunity to find out more about this possible alternative fuel source.

"Baikal is like a laboratory to verify scientific hypotheses and to study the behaviour of gas hydrates in the World Ocean," he said."This opens great possibilities for us - now we can study how gas hydrates form and how we can extract them - in the ocean of course, as I hope no one will start extracting them from Baikal.

"It is rather difficult to study gas hydrates in seas and oceans, he explained, but in Baikal, the deposits lie directly on the lakebed and there is no need for drilling to access them.Dr Yegorov said that last year scientists studied how gas hydrates floated from the bottom to the surface, and during the current season the aim is to analyse these processes even further.

"We also discovered a very interesting phenomenon of how gas hydrate bubbles that come from the lakebed turn into tiny gas hydrate sand-like particles."This gives us clues about gas hydrates' formation and lets us estimate whether they may really be considered an energy source for humanity," he added.

Besides discovering gas hydrates fields, last year the Mir also found multiple sites of oil formation.Scientists say some four tonnes of crude oil naturally seep into Baikal every year from fissures in the lake's bedrock. But Dr Yegorov stressed that this does not affect the lake and Baikal waters manage to stay very clean thanks to microorganisms that use oil as a food source.

"Baikal can be used to verify different processes and technologies, in particular those needed to prevent the consequences of an accident like the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico."To be ready for such spills, we have to first study them and study how microorganisms clean the waters.

And here we have a unique opportunity to do just that," said Dr Yegorov.Most scientists exploring Baikal say that the lake will not and should not be used for oil and gas extraction for commercial purposes.Nevertheless, during one of the past expeditions, representatives from Gazprom VNIIGAZ - the research institute of Russia's energy giant Gazprom - used the Mir to install a flag with the company's logo on top of an underwater volcano in a region abundant with gas hydrates.

This summer, the subs aim to study recently found deposits of gas hydrates The subs also analysed soil behaviour in deep-water conditions with a potential impact on Baikal from underwater pipelines. And though there are no real discussions as of yet about extracting gas and oil from this World Heritage site, microbiologist Tamara Zemskaya of the Limnological institute in Irkutsk believes that a gas pipeline would not harm Baikal's fragile environment.

"There is a gas pipeline being built in the Baltic Sea and if everything is done properly, one could run through the Baikal lakebed as well without any danger to the lake's ecosystem."It is not the right place for an oil pipeline, that's for sure, but a gas one would not be a problem," she said.In 2006, under pressure from environmentalists, the then-president Vladimir Putin ordered a proposed oil pipeline through Baikal to be re-routed.

An Irkutsk-based ecologist Marina Rikhvanova who campaigned for the pipeline plans to be dropped was awarded a prestigious Goldman Environmental prize for her efforts to save the lake.In 2007, he piloted Mir-2 down the icy waters at the North Pole to install a titanium flag on the Arctic floor.

The manned subs reached the depth of 4,300m under a 2.5m layer of ice - something no one had done before. The expedition was widely reported as a bid to further Moscow's territorial claims in the Arctic.Looking at the ring of mountains around the lake, Mr Chernyaev said 25-million-year old Baikal was still hiding quite a few secrets.

"When you go to Baikal, especially when you go underwater, it's as if you have arrived in some fairytale," he said."Nothing here is like anywhere else. Last summer, we discovered so much - including unique deposits of gas hydrates, a possible fuel of the future, and endemic organisms, found only in this lake.

At its deepest point of 1,637m, Lake Baikal is as deep as many places in the world's oceans.The locals call the lake the Pearl of Siberia. It extends like an enormous deep crescent-shaped cut in the Earth's crust and holds the greatest amount of fresh water in the world - 23,000 cubic km.A multitude of rivers, creeks and streams race down the rim of the nearby Eastern Sayan mountains and rocky cliffs of the Baikal range to fill the lake's green-blue waters.

The lake is home to over 1,700 species of animals and plants, about two thirds of which are endemic to the lake - they can be found nowhere else in the world.Out of more than 50 different fish species, at least half are native to Baikal. Among them are the omul and the golomyanka.

The golomyanka has no scales, its body is translucent and about a third of it is composed of oil. This unusual fish contains so much fat that, if left on a shore in sunlight, it will simply "melt" - all that will be left is its skeleton and some oil.One of the animals that eats the golomyanka is another Baikal endemic - the world's only exclusively freshwater seal, the nerpa, that has lived in this lake for some two million years.

Although there is a small number of sub-species of ringed seals in other places, among them in Lake Lagoda in Russia, Saima Lake in Finland and a string of lakes in Northern Quebec, the nerpa is known to be the only indigenous freshwater seal.How it got to Baikal from the salty oceans hundreds of kilometres away still remains a mystery.

Some scientists now tend to believe it came from the Arctic Ocean. To get to the lake, it could have either swum up the rivers or arrived by a sea-passage that had possibly formed after the ice age and then disappeared.There are some 60,000 of these animals living primarily in the northern region of the lake around the Ushkany Islands, but in recent years the seals' numbers have declined, largely because of poaching.

This summer, the Mir will not be searching for the nerpa's origins, but microbiologist Zemskaya said scientists are keen to discover new, endemic organisms of the Siberian lake."During past expeditions, we found a species of freshwater nematode that is completely new to science," she said, explaining that it was a tiny worm.

"These organisms get their nutrition from hydrocarbons that rise from the bottom of Baikal. This is very interesting and new for this lake."Also, below the depth of over a kilometre we found bacteria that usually live no more than 20-50m under the surface because it needs sunlight to thrive.

We would like to find out how they can be so active and thriving at such great depths," she said.As the Mir team continues its venture, scientists worldwide will be waiting for the expedition to shed more light on the secrets of Baikal, this vast Siberian abyss. 

 
Windpower is it really that good ?

The heavy investment in wind turbines at the expense of better systems is a mistake. There are a number of reasons why this is the case, some of them simple enough to understand, e.g. that the energy density of moving air is low, hence the amount of energy you can extract by slowing it down per square meter of wind farm is quite low, no more than about 2W/m2.

The reasons wind turbines are so large have to do with efficiency and with the fact that wind speed increases with height above the surrounding topology. Roughly, wind speed increases by some 10% when you double the height of the turbine, and the power of the wind increases by around 30% (power is proportional to wind speed cubed).

Calculating wind shear is complex because it is influenced by so many factors but these figures are representative.

In practice wind turbines do not deliver output proportional to the wind speed cubed but only operate efficiently within a range of wind speeds. Outside this range they will deliver less power than you would expect. A modern turbine will start to spin at a wind speed of around 3-4m/s to reach rated output at around 12m/s(!) and be stopped and switched off at around 25m/s (gale).
Now, this is very important.

Rated output is reached at a wind speed of around 12m/s - this is the output figure brandished about when the capacities of wind parks are promoted. If we look at the output curve for the state of the art Vestas V112-3.0MW turbine this tells us that at a wind speed of 5m/s the output actually delivered by the turbine is less than 10% of the rated output.

Now, 5m/s is a fairly good estimate of the average wind speed in this country; 20-25% higher in the winter period when the electricity demand is higher - so that is good. The fact that the wind speed only reaches the 12m/s+ necessary to run these turbines at rated output in a small fraction of the time is not so good, though.

In Germany, where there are wind turbines in mountains and coastal areas, the average load factor, i.e. the ratio of actual output to rated output, is 19%, in The Netherlands 22% and in Denmark also 22% (mainly off-shore). Some proponents of wind power claim it to be higher in the UK but it is difficult to understand why this would be the case.

The figures we have seen so far do not seem to support this claim either, so a figure in the 20-25% range is probably realistic, assuming state of the art turbines. It is true that areas exist (in Wales and the Scottish Highlands mainly) where the mean annual wind speed is higher but for wind farms to make any real contribution to our energy supply such a huge proportion of the country needs to be covered with turbines that it becomes completely unrealistic to base calculations on the relatively small areas that are suitable for wind power. More about that below.

Dr David JC MacKay of Cambridge University, in his book Sustainable Energy - without the hot air published some calculations concerning the Whitelee wind farm near Glasgow. This farm comprises 140 turbines with a combined rated capacity of 322MW in an area of 55km2 corresponding to 6W/m2 peak. Assuming a (generous) load factor of 25% I estimate the actual average output to be 1.5W/m2.

However, a major issue is that wind power consumption and generation currently needs to coincide for wind energy to be useful the way things are being done in this country (large vested interests hoovering tax payers' pockets as best they can, supported by government, and an almost total lack of holistic planning).

This means that when there is no wind the whole output of the wind farms needs to be covered through other means (this is why the current strategy will eventually lead to - not prevent - brownouts or blackouts as more wind farms are introduced). It is difficult to calculate reliable estimates of figures for this factor. The result is almost entirely dependent on your assumptions. Of course the law of diminishing returns quickly set in as wind turbines generate a larger proportion of the energy in the grid.

For a tiny country like Denmark, which is the technology leader and to a large extent wind powered, this presents no problem because the neighbouring countries, Sweden and Norway, produce a surplus of hydro-energy, which Denmark simply buys when short of wind. Once international sources of surplus energy are taken up fully it is necessary to build other type of energy generators, e.g. nuclear, to cover periods of no wind - greatly reducing the attractiveness of wind turbines.

Grid management is quite efficient throughout Europe and the European grids well integrated so for the sake of the calculation let us assume that 70% of the potential power output can actually be consumed (this is not a factor related to wind but related to consumption patterns, maintenance downtime, etc, and assumes a more mature wind power system than that existing today). Multiplying this into the 1.5W/m2 above results in an average usable output from wind power of just 1.1W/m2.

Now, let's calculate how many turbines the country needs for them to make a real difference.

The current UK population is just about 70 million people distributed across 244000km2, i.e. the current UK population density is 287 persons/km2 corresponding to an area of 3486m2 per person. So, just to bring our figures down to a level where they are easy to relate to (and I have stolen this idea from Dr David JC MacKay), let us now calculate how much energy we can get from wind power for each person, if we fill the country completely with turbines, from John O'Groats to the Scilley Islands, from East Anglia to North Ireland - all one big wind farm. Then we derive 1.1W/m2 x 3486m2 x 24 hours/day = 92030W/person and day or 92kWh for each person per day.

Let me try to put this into perspective. The current average energy consumption of every UK inhabitant; man, woman and child is around 125KWh/day. If we plaster wind turbines efficiently across every square inch of the country we can thus cover less than 75% of the current energy consumption. Now, turning the whole country into a large wind farm is of course not realistic.

If we only use the most suitable sites, which, incidentally, are also often the most scenic, we could perhaps erect wind farm on 10% of the land, corresponding to around 61.000 large wind turbines, roughly 1.5 to 2 times as many as installed globally by the end of 2008. Draw your own conclusions.

Wind turbines, however, can be made more useful in combination with modern energy storage, allowing energy generated by wind turbines to be stored when their output is not required elsewhere. In Austria they use the unconsumed wind energy to pump water up to higher-laying reservoirs. This water is subsequently used to drive water turbines in periods of larger demand than the wind turbines can cover.

In this country this is not a good solution but hydrogen generation is, particularly in case of off-shore wind farms. These are surrounded by water which can be hydrolysed to produce hydrogen and oxygen. It is easy to pipe the hydrogen ashore and either compress it for later use, e.g. in fuel cells in houses, power plants or vehicles, or simply stick it into the national gas grid to produce a fuel more akin to the city gas of old.

The money invested in wind farms should largely be invested in energy-saving measures instead, primarily in insulating buildings and making these air tight - done correctly this can save about 80% of the heating costs.

The basic idea should be to use less energy, not to generate more by different, more sustainable, means!

 
Pollution worlds biggest killer

About 40 percent of human deaths worldwide are caused by water, air and soil pollution, according to David Pimentel, professor of ecology and agricultural sciences at Cornell University and a well-known researcher.

The World Health Organization has reported that such environmental degradation, combined with the growth in world population, is a major cause of the rapid increase in human diseases. Pimentel says both factors contribute to the malnutrition of 3.7 billion people worldwide and make them more susceptible to disease.

Malnutrition, Overpopulation and Environmental Problems Linked to Diseases

Pimentel and a team of Cornell graduate students examined data from more than 120 published papers on the effects of population growth, malnutrition and various kinds of environmental degradation on human diseases. Their report was published in the journal Human Ecology.

"We have serious environmental resource problems of water, land and energy, and these are now coming to bear on food production, malnutrition and the incidence of diseases," Pimentel says.

Malnutrition Kills 6 Million Children Annually

The research shows that 57 percent of the current world population of about 6.5 billion is malnourished, compared with 20 percent of the world population of 2.5 billion in 1950. Malnutrition is not only the direct cause of death for 6 million children each year, but also makes millions of people much more susceptible to deadly health problems such as acute respiratory infections, malaria and a host of other life-threatening diseases, according to the report.

Other main points of the study include: ·                       

Nearly half the world's people are crowded into urban areas, often without adequate sanitation, and are exposed to epidemics of measles, influenza and other diseases. ·                       

With 1.2 billion people lacking clean water, waterborne infections account for 80 percent of all infectious diseases. Increased water pollution creates breeding grounds for malaria-carrying mosquitoes, which kill 1.2 million to 2.7 million people every year.

Air pollution kills about 3 million people annually. Unsanitary living conditions account for more than 5 million deaths each year, and more than half of those are children. ·                       

Air pollution from smoke and various chemicals kills 3 million people a year.

In the United States alone, about 3 million tons of toxic chemicals are released into the environment each year—contributing to cancer, birth defects, immune system defects and many other serious health problems. ·                       

Soil is contaminated by many chemicals and pathogens, which are passed on to humans through direct contact or in their food and water. Increased soil erosion worldwide not only results in more soil being displaced, but also contributes to the spread of disease microbes and various toxins.

Global Warming is Increasing Risk of Disease


 

At the same time, more microbes are becoming increasingly drug-resistant. And global warming, together with changes in biological diversity, influence parasite evolution and the ability of exotic species to invade new areas. As a result, diseases such as tuberculosis and influenza are re-emerging as major threats while new threats—including West Nile virus and Lyme disease—have developed or spread.

Saving Lives Requires New Population Policies and Better Conservation

"A growing number of people lack basic needs, like pure water and ample food,” Pimentel says. “They become more susceptible to diseases driven by malnourishment, and air, water and soil pollutants.”

In their report, Pimentel and his co-authors call for comprehensive and fair population policies, and increased conservation of environmental resources that support human life. "Relying on increasing diseases and malnutrition to limit human numbers in the world diminishes the quality of life for all humans and is a high-risk policy," the researchers conclude.

 
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